Why I’m Sure the Pew Research Poll re: TPP Approval in the US is a Fraudulent POS
I was intending to write about my "poll" of Princeton, NJ residents that I conducted yesterday, under a decidedly different title, but when I got home, last night, stumbled across the following:
According to another Pew Research poll, more than half the American public thinks both TPP and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), an Obama administration trade and investment initiative with the European Union, would be good for the country.
Well! Mr Pew-noccio, I have a bone to pick with you!
But first, let’s set the stage. Let’s go back, back in time... to yesterday morning. It’s confirmed that I can’t borrow my brother’s video camera, because he doesn’t have one. He uses a cell phone for video. Hence, I go to my plan B, which is to use the video capability of my 2-month-old tablet (an "unbranded", from BestBuy). I don’t really use the tablet much, and had never used the video. So, after learning to take a test video, it’s off to Princeton, to ask of the more-likely-educated Princetonians the question: “Do you know what the TPP is?” or “Do you know what the Trans-Pacific-Partnership is?” or “Do you know what the TPP, or Trans Pacific Partnership, is?” or "Have you ever heard of the TPP?" or "Have you ever heard of the Trans-Pacific-Partnership?" or "Have you ever heard of the TPP, or Trans-Pacific Partnership?" (Yeah, I know, I should have asked the question consistently.)
I had conducted a mini-survey about the question, in Princeton, over a year ago. Nobody (of the 8 people I had asked) knew what TPP was, and I assumed that most would still not know. As I have blogged previously, the public outreach of anti-TPP memes to the public is evidently anemic, to the point of being invisible in NJ, where I live. This represents a massive #FAIL, on the part of activists, who may have done a stellar job in assembling an anti-TPP coalition, but are thus even more reprehensibly guilty of bungling the public outreach part of a serious anti-TPP campaign.
Alas, I arrived in Princeton late, and had a 7:00 open source/open government meetup* to attend, and so ended up with a 2-hour window to catalog whatever the state of anti-TPP awareness was in Princeton. After about an hour, I ducked into Starbucks to view the video.
Well, I wasn’t exactly horrified, as my confidence level with Windows 8 is minimal, but apparently the video shut off automatically when the screen saver flipped on, which was apparently all of 10 minutes. Not exactly the default behavior I would have picked, Bill Gates – thanks for nothing!
I then tried to fiddle with the settings, but just sort of gave up at 6:40 pm. I’ll try to post the video later on, today, when I’m home. Because it only lasts a short while ( I think it shows only 5 people), about all it proves is that I was in Princeton, yesterday, asking a question that, to me, is the sort of thing that obviously should have been seriously polled for the by anti-TPP so-called ‘activists’.
Well, the video is consistent with what I’ll have to repeat out from memory (and an approximating memory, at that): Out of about 30 people I questioned, only about 6 knew what TPP was. One (who obviously knew a great deal about it) was a Princeton student who was majoring in international affairs (or something similar). Another was a guy who explained that he was involved with Electronic Frontier Foundation. Both of these two guys are exactly the kind of individuals one expects to find, in far greater proportion, in an elite university town, like Princeton.
Princeton, thus, provides sort of an expected upper bound to anti-TPP awareness. While I clearly didn’t provide solid statistical proof of anything, my expectation is that TPP awareness (never mind anti-TPP awareness) in Princeton is something like 20%, and overall (at least in NJ) is actually more like 4/30 = 13%.
Assuming my expectation is valid, this is a complete and utter disgrace, given that TPP details were leaked well over a year ago. In spite of their good intentions, the anti-TPP "activists" should be ashamed of their poor performance. Yours truly has extremely limited resources, and reflects a "force" of exactly one person. The anti-TPP "activists", collectively, span organizations with literally millions of members at their disposal, who could at least have inquired, via polling (unscientific polling, like mine, if that's all they could afford) what the public even know about the issue. Thus, they could have gauged the effectiveness of their public outreach efforts (such as they were).
So, that would have been the end of the diary, except for discovering the Pew-noccio POS "poll". In case anybody is math challenged, it’s quite impossible to be for or against something that you've never heard of. Pew would have us believe that most Americans are for TPP, but the overwhelming majority of Americans never heard of TPP (says metamars! Grrr!).
Conclusion #1: You're being played by at least some of the so-called "activists" – I refuse to accept that they're all so naïve and strategically inept.
Conclusion #2: Pew is lying through its teeth – somehow or other, it works for the 1% of the 1% that want the tpp/economic treason/POS.
* A Code for America “brigade” is forming in Princeton
UPDATE Belmar Poll video:
UPDATE Princeton poll video: