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Where's Edward?

A second post inspired by Pepe Escobar, who (again) wrote:

The by now famous tweet by Alexei Pushkov, chairman of the foreign affairs committee at the Duma, and very close to President Vladimir Putin, about Venezuela's offer of asylum being Snowden's "last chance", has been misinterpreted. Rather than a measure of Russia's exasperation, it should be seen as a measure of trepidation. Caracas did receive an extradition request from Washington. Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro said it has already been rejected. Caracas also received an asylum request from Snowden. [6]

Maduro was clear; Snowden "will need to decide when he will fly here". If the movie does become Our Man in Caracas, it's up to Moscow to make it happen. Snowden can't fly through Havana, overflying European and very close to US airspace. Obama may "scramble jets" after all.

Putin's previous statement of offering asylum to Snowden as long as he stopped leaking was clearly designed to appease an enraged Obama administration. But is he prepared to authorize the smuggling of Snowden to South America in a Russian strategic bomber (or, better yet, a nuclear submarine)? And still there's no guarantee Our Man in Caracas would not be whacked, sooner or later, by a CIA contractor. The ball is now in Russia's court.

I'm going back to my old idea. Forget the Russian bomber and the submarine. First, very expensive. And provocative. And tracked by US intel. Also too, remember the Kiev? No, do this:

First, Moscow to Vladivostok by rail, which gets Snowden all the way to the Pacfic on Russian territory:

Then, Vladivostok to Guayaquil by sea -- in, say, a Russian trawler through international waters:

The Transiberian Railroad takes 6 days. Figure a trawler is as fast as a freighter ship: 22 days.

So, if Snowden left today, we should see him pop up in Ecuador in the first week of August. On the other hand, maybe we've never seen him in the transit zone because he's not there any more. So he could already be on the train or at sea.

From Putin's perspective, it's a lovely solution, even a piece of japery:

1) No pesky arrangements with third-party airspaces.

2) Another thumb in the eye to the dumbshit US spooks and their even dumber Ambassador for the Correa fiasco; Snowden wasn't even on a plane!

3) And perhaps best of all... Snowden caused Putin no little annoyance. So the thought of Snowden crossing the Pacific on a slow boat with no Internet is payback on the grand scale.

Anyhow, it's fun to speculate!

NOTE OK, so Guayaquil, Ecuador not Caracas, Venezuela. At least Snowden gets to the right continent!

UPDATE And from Snowden's perspective, things that don't go up in the sky don't get shot out of the sky.

UPDATE If I'm right -- and odds are very long -- I scooped WaPo.

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DCblogger's picture
Submitted by DCblogger on

actually I had the exact same idea, that Snowden would travel across the Pacific in international waters.