This Bloomberg story sounds reasonable:
Federal Reserve officials are throwing everything they have into the fight to stabilize financial markets and restore economic growth. In the process, the Fed balance sheet is ballooning to $3 trillion, if not more.
$3 trillion? I thought it was only two. Did I not get the memo? Should we try for four?
It’s a risky approach because all the cash piling up in the banking system might spark rising inflation down the road. The alternative -- just relying on traditional interest-rate cuts -- might leave markets and the economy mired in the mud for years.
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his colleagues know that when the markets stabilize and the economy turns around, they will have to move fast to take back the extra cash and shrink the central bank’s balance sheet.
A second risk -- that the Fed ends up losing billions on some of the assets accepted as collateral for loans -- is of small importance compared with what’s at stake. (Dec. 5)
But it really is just a story, and not reporting at all.
There's no transparency to the bailout process whatever, and so we can't really know that cash is piling up in the banks.
What we do know is that two -- or is it three -- trillion dollars has disappeared into the financial system, apparently without making even a ripple. That is really very, very odd. Eh?
- lambert's blog
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But, but... didn't the Democrats fix the bill before signing it?
I thought I heard that, but it might have just been the STFU
that everyone poured in our ears.
Report on breakthru on automakers' loans-may include Paulson
getting his second $350B.
Atrios posted on this and has this quote from the NYTimes:
Isn't that special? Use the green money for bailouts, which supposedly will include greening the autos produced. But, of course, that money for R&D and retooling won't be there specifically for that purpose--at least as I read this.
Dems and their freakin' Hope!
Can't they just demand that Paulson present a damn PLAN?
Maybe if there were powerful unions which could be brought to their knees, then they would demand Plans....
But, the bottom line is that BushCo gets its way once again. Even now. Amazing.
I'm getting pretty PO'd by our Dems.
Stakes and risks
A second risk -- that the Fed ends up losing billions on some of the assets accepted as collateral for loans -- is of small importance compared with what’s at stake
Good thing education, health care, secure retirement, or anything like that isn't at stake, because then the projected risk of the program needing money in the year 2042 would be of absolutely overwhelming importance.
translation....
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his colleagues know that when the markets stabilize and the economy turns around, they will have to move fast to take back the extra cash and shrink the central bank’s balance sheet.
TRANSLATION: even if Obama does manage to salvage the economy, Bernanke and Paulson have set it up so that the minute an economic recovery appears to be happening, interest rates will be raised, because there is so much phony cash in the economy that any recovery would be extremely inflationary.
sort of fascinating, those two articles
i love all the use of words to describe the most powerful and connected people in this country, if not the planet, as if they are helpless idiots unable to act, think, anticipate or take action via the powers and tools of their offices. "democrats hope" and "they will have to move fast" and oooooh, "it's a risky approach." gosh, don't break a sweat or anything, wouldn't want anyone at treasury to break a nail.
frankly, it's insulting. either they know where the fuck the money is, in specific amounts, and what they are getting for it; or they've just turned on the printing presses and opened the doors and walked out, leaving them available to any asshole with a large enough bag. i don't believe it's the latter. it's an insult to all our intelligences that they speak to us so, "we just don't know" and "we only have two options and none other." that part especially chaps my ass. no, shit for brains, there are more than "two ways" to stimulate the economy and reign in reckless banking mismangament and theft.
one way includes pitchforks and torches. would they like to try that?
Glad to see discussion here
I mean, two (or is it three?) trillion dollars seem to be... Well, nobody knows quite where.
And it's like... It's like... Remember how astronomers used to discover planets? They would look for perturbations, small inexplicable changes, in the orbits of planets they knew about, and work out the orbit of the new planet from what its gravitational pull had to be to cause the perturbations.
But here, there are no perturbations at all. Two (or is it three?) trillion dollars vanishes.... As if it went off into another dimension. It's not being lent, it's not being visibly managed, nobody's throwing loose cash around.... No gravitational pull from a heavy, unseen object at all. It's like Paulson poured water into a bucket with a hole in the bottom, but when you look under the bucket, there's no water there either, even though the bucket is dry. It's like a magic trick, a conjuration.
It's all very odd.
You'd think this would be a story, no?
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
That is, lambert, an excellent parallel
Yes, there should be perturbations. That there are none (or we're not seeing them) suggests the money is being stuffed under a mattress---as you have pointed out. And there's no way to force out that liquidity.
One other big danger---the dollar crashing. Hyperinflation would do it. Debt default would do it---though it's unlikely that we'd default if we had hyperinflation. That could actually be the plan----borrow like hell, then pay back with hyperinflated dollars. If there is a plan. Unlike my sweet CD, I don't think these guys have a plan. No one really knows what to do.
/blushes, bats eyelashes/ well, ohio
we could talk about sweet things, that sweet moon of yours, for example...
ok, ok, no flirting.
but as to the idea that they don't have a plan: well, yes and no. there are most certainly a lot of people in the financial disaster who don't know jack from shit, and can't tell you up from down about the assest they hold, nor come up with a way to fix the eocnomy, or even the extent of the criminality involved...yes, i agree there is a whole mess of cluelessness out there and that condition pertains to people in gummint, the obama admin, bankers and treasury people.
but the highest levels? our congresscritters? no, some of them know *exactly* what's really going on. hence the lack of transparency. and you're spot on with the hyperinflation stuff. bankers and rethugs and treasury types *always* use the Fear of Inflation to tamp down dem efforts to get things done. they did it with clinton (bill) and they'll try it on obama. lucky (unlucky?) for us, the economy is way more fucked up now than it was in 92, so that's not going to fly nearly as well as it did back then.
heh, that's a freudian typo i'll leave in for the humor
"assets" i meant of course.