This is Your Brain. This is Your Brain on Kool-aid.
So listen up, I am going to make this easy for you. Do not screw this up. Use the three obvious points, and use concrete examples, which I have helpfully provided for you. If you do not say these three things, you are a total failure as a surrogate.
Point Number 1: If the popular vote determined the nominee, no candidate would ever go to Iowa or New Hampshire. They'd spend all their time in big urban areas all over the country from the outset of the campaign, racking up raw numbers. What would be the point of even visiting New Hampshire if you could camp out in Brooklyn? Concrete Example: Barack Obama would not have spent only a day and a half in California before the Feb 5 primary. He would have never gone to Idaho. Duh.
Point Number 2: If the popular vote determined the nominee, no state in its right mind would ever hold a caucus, instantly disenfranchising itself. Concrete example: Minnesota-Missouri. Minnesota gets credit for 214K votes, and Missouri gets 822K votes, but they each get 72 delegates. Is Missouri's voice 4 times more important than Minnesota's?
Point Number 3: The arbitrary distinction between who gets to vote in these primaries is nothing like the general election, where everyone registered gets to vote. In the primaries, sometimes it's just Dems, sometimes Dems and Indies, sometimes anyone. Concrete example: Texas gets a million more votes than similar overall population New York (2.8M to 1.8M), even though New York is far more Democratic, simply due to this arbitrary restriction on who can vote (NY = closed, Texas = open).
Overall point: regardless of the fact that Obama will win the popular vote, it is completely illegitimate in this race.
THIS IS NOT LIKE POPULAR VOTE IN THE GENERAL ELECTION.
And from little lord k0s himself:
98.91% precincts reporting.
Clinton 54.3 52
Obama 45.7 46
That's an 8.6 percent margin, which we can round up to 9 percent. If it drops a few points lower, then it can be rounded down to 8 percent which was the consensus results.
Not that it really changes much, but the semantics are clearly important. It's less impressive to brag about her 8-point victory than "double-digit" lead. And, given her Ohio results, it proves that Clinton is losing ground to Obama among her core constituencies while he holds on to his own.
"Hillary didn't win by 10 points! She only won by 9.6+!"