President Obama sent Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu home with a warning that Israel cannot count on U.S. support if it unilaterally bombs Iran. Top neocons are fuming and Netanyahu must weigh the risk of defying Obama on Iran and trying to deny him reelection, writes Robert Parry.
Let us suppose that Netanyahu decides to strike unilaterally. First of all, it is not impossible that Iran could shoot down at least some of Israels planes. That would create problems for Netanyahu at home.
Let us suppose that oil prices spike. Then what? I am guessing that if the American public sees that Israel was responsible for high oil prices Israel's popularity would go down. A lot. A whole lot.
Israel may have a death grip on Versailles, but out in the country it isn't nearly as popular as it was before its war with Lebanon. They just are not seen as poor little Israel anymore.
I think there is at least a possibility that American opinion would rally around Obama and it would reelect him. All of Versailles has chosen to forget that Obama was elected as the anti-war candidate. Refusing to go along with Israel's military aggression would probably be very popular.