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MH370 story heats up again

International Business Times:

The suspect who brought the missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 to the unknown is a technical genius with highly sophisticated hacking skills, to the extent that he or she has profound knowledge of how the Boeing 777 works, according to satellite expert Michale Exner. Profiling the suspect this way, MH370's captain Zaharie Ahmad Shah is therefore innocent, Exner who is independently investigating MH370 concludes.

Well, that's interesting:

Exner highlighted the fact that the suspect has a working knowledge on how to access the section where all the communication systems were and the fact the suspect was able to manage all systems displayed sophisticated technical capability. Exner also emphasised that shutting the ACARS reporting system down - that can only be done through the plane's cockpit - also displayed the suspect's highly advanced technological ability.

What Exner found through his simulation of a Boeing 777 confirmed that "there is no way to turn off the primary power to the satcom from the cockpit." This scheme is not even described in the flight manuals, Exner said.

"The only way to do is to find an obscure circuit breaker in the equipment bay [i.e. the Electronic and Equipment bay, or E/E bay, is the airplane's main electronic nerve centre," Exner wrote. The problem is, "pilots are not trained to know that detail," the pilots accompanying Exner during the simulation said.

Yikes. I hate to join the "false flag" crowd, but somebody highly trained, not a pilot, in the cargo bay? That smells of a state actor, to me, or a bent very well-paid Boeing technician, that that amounts to the same thing. (Either that, or somebody with a big short in Malaysian Airlines, or maybe Boeing stock).

Again, yikes.

UPDATE From the same author, we might also ask "Where are the debris?"

Pioneering ocean-current researcher Curtis Ebbesmeyer, a retired professor of oceanography at the University of Washington, says that the South Indian Current should have been carrying MH370's wreckage eastward, at a rate of five to ten miles per day. That implies an arrival window on the beaches of Western Australia of between mid-June and late September. ....

Ebbesmeyer says that if we assume that the impact generated a million fragments, and that one-tenth of one percent of the fragments reach the coast, "that would give 1000 objects on the shore, or one per mile of Australian coastline. Not too bad odds." Especially considering that beachcombers have been especially vigilant about collecting the world's most famous pieces of flotsam. Back in April, a hunk of aluminum that washed up on an Australian beach generated headlines for days, before experts from the ATSB determined that it had not come from an aircraft (the ATSB has yet to reveal what it actually came from).

As I write this, warm weather is coming to Western Australia, and with every passing weekend more and more people are going to the beach. Earlier last month, on October 11 and 12, a nonprofit organization called the Tangaroa Blue foundation held its annual Western Australia Beach Cleanup. Some 1500 volunteers combed 130 beaches up and down the western coast collecting plastic rubbish and other debris. The goal of the event is to keep the coastline litter-free clean, but this year volunteers were well aware that they might well stumble upon evidence that could help solve history's most puzzling aviation mystery. "When [MH370] first happened, and they said where they thought it went down, I said to myself, 'Oh crap," because I knew this is where it would come," says event organizer Renee Mouritz. With those drift patterns in mind, the organization set up an informal protocol to pass along reports of any suspected MH370 debris to the AMSA. But so far, Mouritz says, "nobody has fed anything back to us."

There's an old saw that's oft quoted in discussions of MH370: "The absence of evidence is not evidence of absence." But from a Bayesian perspective, the absence of data is itself data. If the plane crashed into the Indian Ocean, it should have created many pieces of debris, and some of those pieces should have wound up on a shore by now. The more time passes without that happening, the greater the possibility that the plane did not go into the ocean.

No votes yet


Jay's picture
Submitted by Jay on

I cannot divine any earthly reason why someone would want that plane to disappear, and in that manner. The flight that went down in Ukraine, yes, but there is clearly something odd going on here.

I don't buy that someone like a pilot couldn't figure out how to deactivate the ACARS system -- as I understand it there are several location/identification systems -- even if pilots do not customarily receive training on those systems or where they are located. That doesn't signify much however; I've no beef against the pilot or copilot.

What's clear is that if there was foul play, all aboard were expendable. If there was a rational though objectionable reason for the event, what on that plane, or about that plane, could have been so important? An IRrational reason would for instance, the pilot saying "I'm going down and you're coming with me."

It would make sense if there were an accident, but then there was a deliberate, and odd, course correction.

quixote's picture
Submitted by quixote on

If the plane did not break up on impact and then sank, there would not be floating bits of debris.

Admittedly, having a huge plane glide unpiloted gently into the ocean seems unlikely. (Impossible? don't know enough about flying.)

jo6pac's picture
Submitted by jo6pac on

unknown is a technical genius with highly sophisticated hacking skills

This plane was an old model not a fly by wire model but cables and hydraulics. I'll go with the lithium batteries caught fire and gassed everyone in the plane. The pilots were flying the plane at the time but with them out the plane lost altitude and in doing so the auto-pilot turned on. This happens at 10,000ft The auto-pilot put the plane into a slow turn making it head the opposite area were they are looking. The fire continued to burn catching the bottom fuel tank on fire, the plane crashed when it ran out of fuel. We have to remember there were 3 people that saw the plane over head on fire, their statements were taken but no action was taken.

This mostly come from a friend who is a pilot and knows people that fly these monsters. Pilots for yrs have complained about caring lithium batteries on fights there have been to known accidents in cargo planes from the batteries catching fire.

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