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D - 115 and counting*

It would be irresponsible not to speculate. --Peggy Noonan

NATO Summit. Guides: from OccupyChicago (PDF) and Occupy Peace. Coverage and media: Mainstream wrap-up. TimCast (independent video streamer). Guardian live blog. Inflammatory headline watch: Chicago braces for violence at NATO summit

Participants: The NATO guest list is rawther long and includes every shade of left opinion -- including OccupyChicago. And the ClownBloq (avec entartistes?). For unaffiliated out-of-towners, organizing bus travel fraught (true for Occupy DC also).

Legalities: NATO could be the first public test of H.R. 347 "restrictive zones" (a la Zucotti Park "frozen zone").

Authorities: DHS leads NATO security through Secret Service and Federal Protective Services divisions, working with the CPD (12,500 strong). (What was "shocking" six months ago is normal now.) Northern Command Gen. Jacoby reminds the troops (3000) they may not "solicit prostitutes." Philly PD sends 67 officers to assist. (Oh great. But shows independent streamers are important.) interestingly, Charlotte, too. (Historically, forces from multiple jurisdictions face chain-of-command and communications issues, risking violence.)

Police tactics: A field guide for NATO. Kettling is costly! CPD chief McCarthy will control deployments of tear gas, bean bags, etc. "We're going to take people who are committing crimes out of those crowds."

Gear: For NATO, $1 million. Including LRAD sound cannons. "This is simply a risk management tool."

Venues: NATO Summit its

lf is in McCormick Place (map). Protest stage, sound system permitted near venue (map). "NATO summit visitors promise to continue Chicago’s record tourism numbers."

Occupy. Polling data on Occupy. Note NY vs. Oakland. Citizen journalist arrested during OWS march fights city and wins.

Green Party. Stein, with 50% of delegates won, claims mantle of presumptive nominee, crowd sources VP. After appeal, PA Democrats allowed to seize $56,928 from Nader campaign after Nader’s 2004 candidate petition ruled invalid and court costs were levied against the campaign.

WI (swing state). DNC offers support in every form but money. Barret blasts Walker's criminal defense fund, connected to a secret probe of his associates. Yeah, "known unknowns", campaign fodder, poor choice of companions, yadda yadda yadda, but "felony child enticement"?! Also, "massive [human] waste violation". Also, too, jobs. Not.

CO (Swing State). 47,000 active oil and gas wells in CO and 17 inspectors (hat tip MR).

IA (Swing State). Gov. Branstad insists he's 'way ahead' of job creation goal; state data suggests otherwise (hat tip TTH).

Inside Baseball. Everybody's building models: Ezra Klein; WaPo; Nate Silver. Americans Elect "failed to generate interest in possible campaigns from Sens. Joe Lieberman and Lamar Alexander." Nobody could have predicted. Schadenfreude from Krugman, and a whole gallery of very serious people who were wrong. And why not nominate The One True Wanker of The Decade?

Ron Paul. Paul's campaign chair: "premature" to discuss Romney endorsement. "The most passive-aggressive political maneuver in modern political history." Paul backers fail to win OK convention. Paulistas en regalia.

Romney. Romney pivots to ZOMG! Teh Debt!!! in IA barnburner: "A prairie fire of debt is sweeping across Iowa and our nation, and every day we fail to act, that fire gets closer to the homes and children we love." In unrelated incident, Romney Veeps audition on same theme at Pete Petersen's Catfood Conference.

Obama. The First Family has between $500,001 and $1,000,000 in a "JP Morgan Chase Private Client Asset Management Checking Account." Have they never heard of "Move Your Money"? Why not avoid the FBI taint? Obama campaign releases "blistering" anti-Romney Bain Capital ad while raising $2 million at fundraiser held by Tony James, President of Blackstone Group. On the very same day. Pierce comments: "The problem is that the president goes around the country undermining the strategy by cozying up to the people who are in the same business as Romney is." Obama will win in November, Americans predict.

* 115 days 'til the Democratic National Convention ends with funeral baked meats on the floor of Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC. Because 115 has an odd number of 1s in its binary representation, it is sometimes called an "odious number."

READERS: Again, here are the swing states: AZ, CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA and WI. I'm very interested in any local or state links you can send me from those states; original reporting, not wire services stuff. Now I have help with CO thanks to MR, and Iowa thanks to TTH but there are more!

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